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The Rams Really Made A Mess Of This

It’s appropriate that the lowest-scoring Super Bowl ever saw an interception on the first pass and set a record for the longest punt in a title game. In a season with the second-most points scored per game in NFL history, it was defense, not offense, that ruled the day.

Throughout the 13-3 New England victory, the Patriots frustrated the Rams’ offensive plans, pressuring quarterback Jared Goff into off-target throws, ill-advised scrambles and finally — when it mattered most, with 4:19 left in the fourth quarter — a game-clinching interception. In holding Los Angeles to 3 points — which tied the 1971 Dolphins with the lowest point total in a Super Bowl — the Patriots were relentless in their pass rush. They blitzed an incredible 41 percent of the time, and Goff was pressured on 39 percent of his dropbacks, according to ESPN’s Stats & Information Group. And it wasn’t just the Patriots front six that made life difficult on the Rams; the Patriots secondary blanketed Los Angeles all night long. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Rams receivers had the worst separation when targeted by Goff since Sean McVay was named head coach.

But this wasn’t a case of the Patriots defense — one that was middling most of the regular season — suddenly morphing into the 1985 Chicago Bears or the 2000 Baltimore Ravens.1 The Rams’ execution and play-calling were suspect as well. The Patriots held C.J. Anderson and Todd Gurley to 57 yards on the ground, and they did it without stacking the box. The Rams never faced a defensive front with more than seven men near the line of scrimmage — not even once in the game. Against a light box of six or fewer defenders, the Rams offensive line was able to generate only 21 rushing yards on six carries — a 3.5-yard average. That was 2.2 yards worse than their regular-season average of 5.7 and just a 10th of a yard more than the 3.4 yards per carry2 they averaged Sunday against a seven-man front. The Rams went from being the third-ranked rushing team in the league against these light and neutral defensive fronts — averaging 5.4 yards per carry in the regular season — to one that could muster only 3.4 in the biggest game of the year.

Goff, who was hit five times in the game, was never able to find a consistent rhythm and frequently missed his target. Most notably, he was late on a pass in the third quarter, allowing safety Jason McCourty to break up a sure touchdown to a wide-open Brandin Cooks in the end zone. McVay, meanwhile, failed to aggressively push small edges, never going for it on fourth-and-short. The Rams also played sloppily, earning nine penalties for 65 yards to New England’s three for 20. Much was written about the experience gap between the two teams at coach and QB, and it showed. At one point, Goff forgot the snap count he called in the huddle and was flagged for a false start, an incredibly rare feat for an NFL quarterback.

The net result of the Rams’ offensive futility was historic: They became only the second team in Super Bowl history not to score a touchdown, wasting a defensive effort that held Tom Brady and the Patriots to 13 points. And while there may be more to football than scoring points, it’s hard to argue that this Super Bowl was a shining example of compelling low-scoring football. Neither team was efficient on third down, with each converting just three opportunities into a new set of downs. A total of one play was run in the red zone by either team. The first half of the game was so uneventful that the two plays with the highest impact as measured by win probability3 added were punts by Johnny Hekker.

In a season defined by high-scoring excitement, this Super Bowl could have been a showcase for explosive offensive efficiency. Instead we got nine Hekker punts and Maroon 5 in the halftime show. In short, it was one of the worst Super Bowls ever.

UltimateSEO.online Purchase SEO Packages Now Live

Ultimate SEO has begun to develop its UltimateSEO.online site as a store front where visitors can purchase SEO products and services.  At this time we have several SEO Audit packages listed.  More details will be added to the products but they are the same as currently described on SEO Services

Additionally we will role out subscription packages for ranking reports and data trending as well as content development and backlinking campaigns.

seo tool

The post UltimateSEO.online Purchase SEO Packages Now Live appeared first on Ultimate SEO.

Significant Digits For Friday, Feb. 1, 2019

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.


116 million fake accounts

In its securities filings, Facebook has provided estimates of how many fake accounts are on its service. These estimates have varied widely, from 18.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2016 to 116 million last quarter. But the estimates don’t square with the number of fake accounts the company says it has removed — over a recent 12-month stretch, that number was as many as 2.8 billion fake accounts. [The New York Times]


$106 billion

Saudi Arabia has concluded a corruption investigation that led to the detention of dozens of princes and businessmen. The country’s Royal Court says it has rounded up about $106 billion in cash, real estate and other assets. [CNBC]


96-day-long prayer service

A law in the Netherlands prohibits police from entering a place of worship during a service. An Armenian family and its supporters took advantage of the law, holding a 96-day prayer service at a church in the Hague to prevent the family’s deportation. This week, the Dutch Cabinet decided to allow the family to stay. [Reuters]


745,355 prescriptions

Over nearly 11 years, Kim Le signed off on or dispensed 745,355 prescriptions for three Walgreens stores in the Bay Area. Le, however, according to state officials, was not a licensed pharmacist. Le’s pharmacist license number in Walgreens’s records actually belonged to another pharmacist with the same name. [Los Angeles Times]


300 attempts

After just 300 attempts, a robot loaded with an MIT algorithm learned how to play a mean game of Jenga. [TechCrunch]


1,600 quasars

Dark energy, a mysterious force that is estimated to make up around 70 percent of our universe, is typically thought of as a constant. But by studying nearly 1,600 massive and remote celestial objects called quasars, a pair of astronomers found that the universe is expanding faster than expected. This suggests that dark energy might be “getting stronger as the cosmos grows older,” one of the scientists said. [Space.com]


Love digits? Find even more in FiveThirtyEight’s book of math and logic puzzles, “The Riddler.” It’s in stores now! I hope you dig it.

If you see a significant digit in the wild, please send it to @ollie.

52 Tools And Counting: Mostly Free SEO Tools – I Actually Use

SEO Tools – The Ultimate List

There are actually a couple lists of tools on this page.  Check them out and come back for more in the future.  What you wont find in this list is a tool that has asked or paid or communicated with me concerning the list.  This is an honest collection of what I want to keep links too.  If you want to be on the list feel free to maybe comment?  If I find it useful and use it I’ll add a link.  Otherwise maybe someone else will like it from your comment link and they can make there own list. 🙂

Over 50 SEO Tools, Mostly Free

As I go through my SEO day I type the same addresses over and over to get to a collection of useful tools.  So I decide to post them as links once and for all, for my own benefit but also for others who may come here for a backlink indexer but find there isn’t one … but there is a list that includes one of the best.

A quick highlight of some of the tools and how I plan to build on this simple list.  First, I’ll address the second thing I noted…I plan to build the list out from its initial 52 to hopefully a hundred with the promise I’m not just adding crap tools or duplicate tools over and over.  Now as a highlight of some of the best tools on this list I’ll put some details in the coming weeks in a section below the list. There is also another mini list that includes tools for text and html below the main list.

More Tools – Text and HTML Free Tools

I’ve turned 40 today so I figured I’d make a top 40 list of tools and guides. The first one I’ll note I didn’t use for Web Design, I just used it to make a choice for me.

Generate Random Choice – When you’re on the fence and need some decision help.

Random Word Generator – Brainstorming

Adwords And Titles

Capitalize the First letter of Each Word In A Sentence

Free Photoshop Like Web Tool

Pixlr

Site Speed

Compress HTML Code

Uncompress HTML Code

CSS Minifier

Merge CSS OR JS Files

Testing

CSS HTML JavaScript With Output Test Environment

Fast Web Design

Hexadecimal Color Picker

JavaScript Popup Maker

HTML List Generator

Convert URLs to HTML Links

CSS

CSS Beautifier

HTML Modifiers

HTML Formatter

Convert line breaks to paragraphs

Remove Duplicate Lines

CSV

CSV to XML Converter

Text Format And Order Modifiers

Alphabetical Order Tool

Remove Line Breaks from Text

Date And Time

Epoch Timestamp To Date

Time zone list – HTML select snippet

The post 52 Tools And Counting: Mostly Free SEO Tools – I Actually Use appeared first on Ultimate SEO.

How Anthony Davis Would Fit On The Lakers, Celtics, Nets, Sixers And Knicks

There are deals made at the NBA trade deadline every year, but rarely do those last-minute swaps truly change the trajectory of a season. Yet that sort of potential might exist this season: We learned Monday that superstar big man Anthony Davis wants out of New Orleans, which all but means that the Pelicans have to deal him before he leaves for nothing.

Davis is supremely talented, enough so that teams that once said they wouldn’t touch their rebuilding plans are no doubt now counting their pocket change to gauge the cost of a deal with New Orleans. It’s widely assumed that the Los Angeles Lakers will be aggressive in trying to get something done before the Feb. 7 deadline. And there’s seemingly a huge incentive for them to make that push. The Pelicans can almost certainly create an even bigger bidding war if they wait to trade Davis this summer. By then, the asset-rich Boston Celtics can be involved, and the draft-lottery dust will settle, clarifying which club will have the rights to the No. 1 overall pick.1 So it will probably take a home-run offer to entice the Pelicans to let Davis go now.

For the time being, we took a crack at estimating where Davis could go and how five teams would fare with him — according to our CARMELO projection model, which generates depth charts and power ratings for every team — after parting ways with the players it’d take to land him.2

Lakers

Possible deal for Davis: Lonzo Ball, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Ivica Zubac and picks.

What the Lakers would look like with AD

Projected full-strength playoff depth chart for the 2018-19 Los Angeles Lakers with Anthony Davis, based on CARMELO plus/minus ratings

EXPECTED MINUTES PER GAME PLAYER RATING
PLAYER PG SG SF PF C TOTAL OFF. +/- DEF. +/- TOT. +/-
LeBron James 4 0 14 21 0 39 +4.9 +1.2 +6.1
Anthony Davis 0 0 0 22 18 40 +2.9 +3.2 +6.1
Brandon Ingram 0 0 34 0 0 34 -1.4 -0.4 -1.8
Rajon Rondo 25 2 0 0 0 27 -0.9 -0.3 -1.2
JaVale McGee 0 0 0 0 17 17 -2.4 +1.7 -0.7
Tyson Chandler 0 0 0 3 12 15 -2.3 +2.4 +0.2
Lance Stephenson 0 19 0 0 0 19 -0.8 -1.2 -2.0
Johnathan Williams 0 0 0 2 1 3 -2.0 +0.2 -1.9
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk 0 17 0 0 0 17 -2.0 -1.6 -3.6
Michael Beasley 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.3 -0.2 -1.5
Moritz Wagner 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1 +0.0 -2.1
Isaac Bonga 8 6 0 0 0 14 -1.8 -0.2 -2.0
Alex Caruso 11 4 0 0 0 15 -1.6 -0.2 -1.7
Team total 240 +1.2 +3.4 +4.6
Expected wins 52.9
CARMELO team rating 1645

The Lakers’ package3 — likely made up of some combination of Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ingram, Josh Hart and Ivica Zubac — isn’t really a secret to anyone at this point. That group is young and talented. It just isn’t clear whether any of the players possess the talent to become stars at some point. (For the sake of this exercise, we left Ingram out of the deal, though the Pelicans could easily demand that he, Kuzma, Ball and others be included. Their preference remains to be seen.)

Ball, Kuzma and Ingram have all struggled to take the next step this season. That shouldn’t be a deal-breaker. It’s a huge adjustment learning to play with LeBron James and then having to go back to playing without him as he recovers from injury. But it does raise a big question for New Orleans: Should the Pelicans really be dealing away a superstar on the hope that one of these young Lakers will ascend into something significant? The answer becomes even more important considering that any picks the Lakers send over would likely be toward the back end of the first round, because a Davis-LeBron duo would peg Los Angeles as one of the top seeds out West.

In the short term, the Lakers’ full-strength postseason version with Davis would improve to a CARMELO rating of 1645,4 up from the 1589 posteason mark we’re estimating with their current roster. That is roughly the same as the Denver Nuggets’ full-strength playoff rating, but it may also be understating the Lakers’ chances. Would YOU want to bet against a team led by James and Davis in the playoffs (at least against anybody except perhaps the Warriors)?5

Celtics

Possible (offseason) deal for Davis: Jaylen Brown, Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum and picks.

Boston probably has the most attractive, cost-controlled assets in the league. But the Celtics are in a holding pattern because of a little-known rule that prohibits teams from acquiring more than one player on Davis’s “Rose Rule” contract via trade. In 2017, Boston traded for Kyrie Irving, who also signed a Rose Rule extension. That means the club would have to deal Irving to acquire Davis — which obviously won’t happen. More feasibly, Boston could re-sign Irving to a new contract in free agency this offseason, which would give the team the freedom to then make a deal for Davis.

The Celtics have several young, relatively cheap players — Jaylen Brown, Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart and Jayson Tatum — who would appeal to any team starting a rebuild. They’re also likely to have three first-round picks in the 2019 draft. With this war chest potentially available from Boston this summer, the Pelicans should consider waiting on a Davis deal if they are not blown away by an offer at the deadline.

Just for fun, though, if the Celtics did trade Kyrie for AD this year — sending, say, Irving, Daniel Theis and Guerschon Yabusele to the Pelicans for Davis — the resulting team would be pretty stacked, with a playoff full-strength CARMELO of 1752. That’s about 50 points higher than the Houston Rockets and 20 higher than the Toronto Raptors, albeit still nearly 100 points lower than the Warriors’ mark. The Celtics currently have the third-highest standard rating in the East, but their playoff rating would easily vault to No. 1 with a Kyrie-for-AD swap (which, again, will not actually happen).

(By comparison, it’s worth noting that in the far more realistic scenario — a Davis trade for Brown, Rozier, Smart and Tatum over the summer — the Celtics’ CARMELO would be 1723, which would also be a 30-point improvement over their current full-strength playoff rating, good for about two-and-a-half extra wins over a full season.)

Nets

Possible deal for Davis: Jarrett Allen, Allen Crabbe, D’Angelo Russell and picks.

What the Nets would look like with AD

Projected full-strength playoff depth chart for the 2018-19 Brooklyn Nets with Anthony Davis, based on CARMELO plus/minus ratings

EXPECTED MINUTES PER GAME PLAYER RATING
PLAYER PG SG SF PF C TOTAL OFF. +/- DEF. +/- TOT. +/-
Anthony Davis 0 0 0 19 23 42 +2.9 +3.2 +6.1
Caris LeVert 0 9 21 0 0 30 +0.0 -0.6 -0.6
Spencer Dinwiddie 31 0 0 0 0 31 +2.3 -2.1 +0.2
Joe Harris 0 29 0 0 0 29 +1.0 -1.1 -0.1
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 0 8 16 0 0 24 -1.8 +0.4 -1.3
DeMarre Carroll 0 0 7 15 0 22 -0.5 -0.3 -0.8
Jared Dudley 0 0 4 14 0 18 -1.4 +0.2 -1.2
Rodions Kurucs 0 0 0 0 20 20 -1.4 -0.5 -1.9
Treveon Graham 13 2 0 0 0 15 -1.6 -0.5 -2.0
Ed Davis 0 0 0 0 5 5 -1.3 +2.1 +0.8
Shabazz Napier 4 0 0 0 0 4 +0.2 -0.8 -0.6
Dzanan Musa 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8 -0.5 -2.3
Theo Pinson 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7 -0.5 -2.1
Alan Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7 +1.3 -0.5
Team total 240 +1.8 +0.3 +2.2
Expected wins 46.5
CARMELO team rating 1560

They may not get much attention in this conversation, but the Brooklyn Nets probably have some dark-horse potential for landing Davis.

Any deal would obviously hinge on the Pelicans’ interest in building around one of the Nets’ guards — either 22-year-old D’Angelo Russell, who has an outside chance at an All-Star spot and is a restricted free agent this summer, or Caris LeVert,6 who illustrated flashes of stardom before going down with an injury earlier this season. Beyond surrendering one of them, Brooklyn would also have to offer promising 20-year-old center Jarrett Allen. Allen Crabbe would almost certainly have to be part of any deal to make the money work, and it seems likely that the Nets would need to part ways with a couple of first-round picks.

It’d be a steep, depth-diminishing price for a team that, after years of irrelevance, is just now finding its footing in the Eastern Conference playoff race. And even with Davis in the fold, the resulting roster, with a CARMELO rating of 1560, would not be much better than a lower-tier playoff team in the short term. But the Nets have long been interested in landing a top-flight star, and this provides them that chance, giving them more than a full season to build around Davis and convince him to stick around.

Sixers

Possible deal for Davis: Markelle Fultz, Mike Muscala, Justin Patton, Ben Simmons and a pick.

What the Sixers would look like with AD

Projected full-strength playoff depth chart for the 2018-19 Philadelphia 76ers with Anthony Davis, based on CARMELO plus/minus ratings

EXPECTED MINUTES PER GAME PLAYER RATING
PLAYER PG SG SF PF C TOTAL OFF. +/- DEF. +/- TOT. +/-
Anthony Davis 0 0 0 25 17 42 +2.9 +3.2 +6.1
Jimmy Butler 0 15 20 0 0 35 +3.0 +0.9 +3.9
Joel Embiid 0 0 0 0 31 31 +1.5 +2.6 +4.0
J.J. Redick 0 27 3 0 0 30 +2.0 -2.0 +0.0
Wilson Chandler 0 0 9 18 0 27 -0.9 -0.1 -1.1
Landry Shamet 22 0 0 0 0 22 +0.7 -2.4 -1.6
T.J. McConnell 24 0 0 0 0 24 -1.1 -0.5 -1.6
Zhaire Smith 0 0 15 0 0 15 -1.2 -0.4 -1.6
Furkan Korkmaz 0 6 1 0 0 7 -0.4 -1.2 -1.6
Amir Johnson 0 0 0 5 0 5 -1.2 +1.9 +0.6
Jonah Bolden 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.2 +1.1 -1.0
Shake Milton 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1.2 -0.8 -2.0
Corey Brewer 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.4 +0.6 -1.8
Team total 240 +5.6 +2.3 +7.9
Expected wins 60.2
CARMELO team rating 1710

New Orleans has to listen if the Sixers are willing to offer 22-year-old rookie of the year Ben Simmons — the burly ball-handling forward who will likely develop into a perennial All-Star. Simmons would not only give the Pelicans a franchise player, but he would also be on a reasonable contract, which buys New Orleans some time to build around him.

The real question here is whether Philadelphia — which arguably possesses the best frontcourt in the league already — would even consider such a move. The Sixers already pulled off a trade in November for Jimmy Butler and have done well since then — even while some players grumbled over a need for more defined offensive roles. A deal for Davis would improve Philly’s roster on paper slightly, elevating its full-strength playoff CARMELO from 1677 to 1710, but maybe not by as much as a team might expect when adding a superstar of Davis’s stature. And a Davis deal — one that would force Joel Embiid to learn how to play alongside another dominant big — might bring about even more questions about chemistry, since they’d be somewhat redundant as rim protectors and floor-spacing bigs.

All of this suggests that the Sixers might sit this opportunity out rather than offer up Simmons.

Knicks

Possible deal for Davis: Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis and a pick.

What the Knicks would look like with AD

Projected full-strength playoff depth chart for the 2018-19 New York Knicks with Anthony Davis, based on CARMELO plus/minus ratings

EXPECTED MINUTES PER GAME PLAYER RATING
PLAYER PG SG SF PF C TOTAL OFF. +/- DEF. +/- TOT. +/-
Anthony Davis 0 0 0 17 23 40 +2.9 +3.2 +6.1
Kevin Knox 0 0 27 5 0 32 -2.8 -3.2 -5.9
Emmanuel Mudiay 30 0 0 0 0 30 -0.3 -2.0 -2.3
Noah Vonleh 0 0 0 21 0 21 -1.3 +1.5 +0.2
Luke Kornet 0 0 0 5 12 17 -0.4 +0.6 +0.2
Damyean Dotson 0 18 5 0 0 23 -0.7 -1.1 -1.8
Enes Kanter 0 0 0 0 13 13 +0.5 -0.6 -0.1
Allonzo Trier 3 18 0 0 0 21 -1.9 -2.6 -4.5
Courtney Lee 0 11 9 0 0 20 -0.5 -1.1 -1.5
Trey Burke 13 0 0 0 0 13 +0.7 -2.5 -1.8
Mitchell Robinson 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.2 +2.4 +1.2
Mario Hezonja 0 0 7 0 0 7 -1.9 -0.2 -2.1
Frank Ntilikina 2 1 0 0 0 3 -2.6 -1.0 -3.6
Lance Thomas 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7 -0.1 -2.9
Team total 240 -1.8 -2.9 -4.6
Expected wins 28.8
CARMELO team rating 1387

Expected wins: 28.8 | CARMELO team rating: 1387

Depending on how a New Orleans deal with New York would look, the Knicks could be in a similar boat to the one the Celtics are in.

Because the Pelicans will be looking to replace Davis’s star power, they might be interested in exploring a deal with whichever team lands the No. 1 overall pick — something the Knicks are in the running for (we won’t have clarity on that until mid-May). If New York wins the lottery, it’s possible that New Orleans would have enough interest in that pick, Tim Hardaway Jr. and perhaps Kevin Knox to make a deal.

But there’s another school of thought to consider: that perhaps it’s better for the Knicks to trade Kristaps Porzingis — who’s coming off an ACL tear and who basically plays the same position as Davis — than to surrender the team’s top pick to the Pelicans. And perhaps New Orleans would prefer to have the 23-year-old Porzingis, who was a known, All-Star level commodity before his injury.

The teams’ preferences at this stage are a mystery. But if both the Knicks and Pelicans have legitimate interest, a few options potentially exist for a deal to happen. Would the resulting team even be any good, though? According to CARMELO, a Davis-led Knicks squad would still carry a below-average 1387 rating at full strength. That wouldn’t exactly be a great fit with what Rich Paul, Davis’s agent, described as the star’s preference to play for “a team that allows him a chance to win consistently and compete for a championship.”

Yet the Knicks would have considerable cap space to put another top-shelf talent next to Davis during free agency, which would help boost their projection much higher.

Jay Boice contributed research.

Check out our latest NBA predictions.